In this paper, a Topic-based probabilistic model named GIST is proposed to infer group activities, and make group recommendations. Compared with existing individual-based aggregation methods, it not only considers individual members’ interest, but also consider some subgroups’ interest. Intuition might seem that when a group of users want to take part in an activity, not every group member is decisive, instead, more likely the subgroups of members having close relationships lead to the final activity decision. That motivates our study on jointly considering individual members’ choices and subgroups’ choices for group recommendations. Based on this, our model uses two kinds of unshared topics to model individual members’ interest and subgroups’ interest separately, and then make final recommendations according to the choices from the two aspects with a weight-based scheme. Moreover, the link information in the graph topology of the groups can be used to optimize the weights of our model. The experimental results on real-life data show that the recommendation accuracy is significantly improved by GIST comparing with the state-of-the-art methods. Copyright © 2017 published by Elsevier.